Monday, May 01, 2006

More Fun with Arabs

I'm still off about the Iran situation.

I remember when 9/11 happened, and then the slow drift into war in Iraq how few people, in my view, saw what was going on. How many people, not just the news media, but certainly aided by it, were confused about what was happening, why, and what the obvious outcome was going to be -- still are for that matter. I remember listening to 'experts' saying that the Iraq thing was going to be okay, even a strategically wise move, if the administration made sure to pay attention to reconstruction, and then in the next sentence, these same experts saying how it didn't look like that was happening (by the way I'm talking Dec 2002 here) but we should support the administration anyway. Well it wasn't okay. It wasn't strategic -- except in a sense those experts didn't mean. It certainly wasn't cheap, and it certainly wasn't/isn't easy. It's a mess. One which all by itself will have repercussions for this county that will last for decades. Iraq isn't like Vietnam. In Vietnam there was a cohesive social system that was ready (aching in fact) to put in place it's own governement that, in the event, proved to be stable, effective and long lasting. Even I, a non-expert in arab affairs know that Iraq was never going to be like that. Iraq is going to be a sucking wound for decades, the waves of trouble are going to spread out from it beyond anyone's ability to predict.

And now comes Iran. Once again, no one is paying attention. Once again, just like the last time, most people just sort of blindly assume that things will 'work out'. We assume the situation basically is what the administration says ('runaway' autocratic state, intent on 'insane' goals, un-responsive to diplomatic pressure with a citizenry that will not support it when push comes to shove), that whatever happens we can pretty much call 'game over' should somehow the going get to sticky. We assume that 'the system' will prevent the administration from doing anything to off the mark, and that the pundit class must have some reason for supporting the centrist tide of confrontation with Iran other than the call of the paycheck. We assume there are no lies being told. Most important of all however, we allow doubt, uncertainty and hesitation to stop us from acting.

The most amazing thing of all to me is how even now, three years after the start of the Iraq war, and five years after the real machinations began, people, most of them, still don't really believe that the administration is guilty of what is claimed. The famous 'man in the street' still does kind of wonder if maybe Valerie Plame did send off her husband, never for a moment allowing themselves to remember that this is an utterly irrelevent charge that misses entirely the point. Very, very few people get it that by exposing Valerie Plame the administration diminished the ability of the CIA to spy on Iran! (that story came out in February (here) -- where was the MSM then? Still sleeping off the hangover? Still Doubting?) Most people still think there is some kind of doubt as to whether Karl Rove is the most power hungry, stop at nothing manipulator on the planet, and still kind of think the Democrats do play politics too much. For that matter plenty of people probably still believe that 'Tax and Spend' is an insightful criticism. Fear, Uncertainty and Doubt are fostered by our political system, by our culture of 'not until proven beyond a shadow of a doubt' even about things that no one will ever prove -- politics. How much more proof does America need that this administration does not have peace in mind? How much more plain than the nose on your face can it get that War, perpetual, generational War is the plan? How much more obvious does it need to be that they will do and say anything to hold on to power? How many more lies do you have to hear before you can start to realize that they are lying? How many? Do you need a war with the entire arab world before you figure it out? That is the question on the table right now.

America has been heading for fall for a long time -- wandering around the globe making things up to suit there own interests, and lying, cheating, stealing, murdering, and destabilizing the entire globe to achieve it's ends. If you really think that the 'Post 9/11 age', the 'new kind of war' is a call for more of the same only bigger and badder, well, then that is what you will get. It is up to us, but it won't be up to us for long. If we attack Iran the dominoes really will fall down. There will be global calls for war on the US, and there will be no going back. There will be no 'debating' whether we should or shouldn't pull out and cut our losses when things get ugly. There will be no 'missed opportunities' or 'missions accomplished'. There will be no 'Game Over'. The day we attack Iran, Pervez Musharaff will fall, and we will have a nuclear country as our enemy -- that very day. The day we attack Iran the Saudi's will lose control of their populace. The Turks will turn against us forever -- they already hate us for what we've done in their region. And I haven't even brought up the Chinese and the Russians yet.

Well, lets hope I'm wrong. lets hope the insanity really is obvious and 'the powers that be' really are already working behind the scenes to stop this president. You'd think the business community would figure out one of these days that what is going on is bad for business -- but then you check the stock market and you are forced to think again. You'd think that someone in the 'big league' business world would start doing something. Well maybe they are, maybe they are.

Here are some other pieces talking about the Iran situation: here, and here. Firedoglake talks about the Plame story here.

Game Over:

Hudson: Well that's great, that's just fuckin' great man. Now what the fuck are we supposed to do? We're in some real pretty shit now man... That's it man, game over man, game over! What the fuck are we gonna do now? What are we gonna do?

Burke: Maybe we could build a fire, sing a couple of songs, huh? Why don't we try that?


Blogger Demosthenes said...


Here are a couple links. The first is from The Forward

3:15 PM  

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